Report
Unsheltered Homelessness and the 2028 Olympic Games in Los Angeles

The 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles (LA) are less than two years away. On the heels of a successful 2026 World Cup run, is LA prepared for the Olympics, which will bring 10 times as many spectators scattered across dozens of venues?

One big question is how Los Angeles plans to manage its visible homelessness crisis. According to the 2026 Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority (LAHSA) annual Point-in-Time (PIT) Count, there were an estimated 49,000 people living unsheltered in LA County, a 3.3% increase from the year before. Within the City of Los Angeles specifically, unsheltered homelessness rose 7.9% to 29,115 people. At the same time, economic headwinds, persistent housing shortages, and drastic cuts to federal funding for housing, food, and health care may push ever more people into homelessness. Preparation for the Olympics lands on top of an already-shifting policy landscape defined by the expansion of homeless encampment clearances or “resolution” efforts and a more permissive enforcement environment following the U.S. Supreme Court’s 2024 decision in Grants Pass v. Johnson, which cleared the way for municipalities to enforce anti-camping ordinances even where shelter capacity is inadequate.

The Olympic venue list is now largely finalized, but the operational and security planning around those venues has still not been made public. What is already established is a pattern, repeated at prior Olympic Games and other major global events, of heightened enforcement and displacement in the immediate vicinity of venue sites. Reporting by LAist indicates county homelessness officials have been told to plan for security perimeters as wide as a mile around venues. In that reporting, LA County’s own preliminary needs assessment put the projected number of unsheltered people in the areas around venues at roughly 1,600. In this report, we estimate at least 5,975 in LA County, including 5,501 in the City of LA.

Estimated adult unsheltered population within 1 mile of official game venues:

Los Angeles Continuum of Care (countywide)
Estimated people affected: 5,975
Share of CoC unsheltered population: 13.6%
City of Los Angeles
Estimated people: 5,501
Share of City unsheltered population: 19.8%

Will LA2028 be remembered as the displacement Olympics, or the housing Olympics? Angelenos take pride in our history as successful hosts of the 1932 and 1984 Olympics, but 1984 saw widespread displacement of unhoused people with little public attention. This report represents our first step in monitoring the impacts of the LA2028 Olympics preparations on the well-being of unhoused populations.

This report estimates how many people living outside would be affected by the proposed Olympic security perimeters to understand the implications of Olympic security planning for an already-strained homelessness response system. To begin to inform research strategies, we begin by asking how many unsheltered Angelenos live within the geographic footprint where venue-related security policies could apply? We explore the implications of different security perimeter sizes and explore geographic variations in impact.

The goal of this reporting is not to challenge the county estimate but merely to show that a much larger number of people could be affected based on what is known publicly about security zones. We will update our maps and estimates as more knowledge becomes public.

We derive our estimates by linking spatial data representing the boundaries of Olympic venue sites with data from LAHSA’s 2026 Point-in-Time (PIT) Count, which provides the most detailed available snapshot of homelessness in the Los Angeles Continuum of Care (CoC). The CoC covers all cities and unincorporated areas in Los Angeles County except Pasadena, Long Beach, and Glendale. Thus our estimates represent undercounts of potential impact. More detailed methodological details are provided on the Methodology tab.

Results
Based on a one-mile security perimeter, we estimate that 5,975 people in LA County (excluding Long Beach, Glendale, and Pasadena) and 5,501 people in City of LA would be affected — more than triple the roughly 1,600-person planning figure LA County has cited publicly, at both the CoC and City of LA level. This would indicate the potential displacement of 13.6% of LA County’s unsheltered population, and 19.8% of the City of LA’s population.

We do not yet know whether officials will draw security perimeters from each venue’s full perimeter or from a single reference point; we use full site perimeters because we believe that better reflects how US Secret Service officials would approach security, but a point-based approach would yield an estimate about 30% smaller.

How much does the security perimeter distance matter?

The scenarios below vary the buffer radius to show the potential impact of different security perimeter sizes.

Continuum of Care
City of Los Angeles
Buffer Est. people % of unsheltered pop. Est. people % of unsheltered pop.
0.5mi 2,191 5.0% 2,058 7.4%
1mi 5,975 13.6% 5,501 19.8%
2mi 15,988 36.3% 13,745 49.6%

These estimates showcase how the perimeter distances matter enormously. If the security perimeter were reduced to 0.5 miles, then we estimate that about 2,100 people would be living within the perimeter (2,058 in LA City, 2,191 in LA County), reducing the affected population by roughly two-thirds. By contrast, a doubling of the perimeter to 2 miles would affect almost 50% of all unsheltered individuals in the City of LA. Officials have discussed perimeters “as wide as a mile,” and our 1-mile estimate is the headline figure used throughout this report, but if the final security footprint ends up smaller or larger, the affected population changes substantially in either direction.

Where are the affected unsheltered population concentrated?

We report which venues contribute most to the affected population. To do so, we group the official venues into groups corresponding to the LA2028 Olympic zones (e.g., DTLA, Exposition Park, Venice Beach) and calculate two estimates for each zone: a stand-alone (“solo”) estimate based on that zone’s buffer alone, and its marginal contribution to the total affected population. The table below reports the solo share only.

The venues driving the majority of the impact are those located in Downtown LA and Exposition Park zones (i.e., Peacock Theatre, Crypto.com Arena, LA Convention Center, Exposition Park, Galen Center, and BMO Stadium), which together account for 53.8% of the total estimated affected population. Within that combined figure, the DTLA zone (Peacock Theatre, Crypto.com Arena, LA Convention Center) accounts for 40.7% on its own, and the Exposition Park zone (Exposition Park, Galen Center, BMO Stadium) accounts for 20.1%. The next-largest contributor is the venue in Venice Beach, accounting for 11.4%.

That venue zone-level concentration carries straight through to the city’s political boundaries. We map each Council District by the share of that district’s own unsheltered population that falls within a mile. CD1 (represented by Eunisses Hernandez) and CD9 (represented by Curren D. Price, Jr.) stand out both in absolute numbers and as a share of each district’s own unsheltered population; CD9 is home to the Downtown LA and Exposition Park venues described above, and CD1 share overlaps with the one-mile perimeters surrounding the DTLA zones. An estimated 1,662 people (~55% of CD1’s unsheltered population) and 1,098 people (~38% of CD9’s) fall within a mile of an official venue, respectively. CD4 (Nithya Raman) and CD11 (Traci Park, home to Venice Beach) also show relatively high shares, at ~34% and ~33%, respectively, followed by CD6 (Imelda Padilla) at ~26%. Several districts (e.g., CD3, CD5, CD7, CD10, and CD12) see little to no overlap. To visualize variation in impact at the CoC level, visit the Totals tab to view results by Service Planning Area (SPA) (broader geographic regions used by LA County for health and human services planning) and Supervisorial District (SD).

Hover over a venue zone for its estimated affected population, shown both as a stand-alone (“solo”) estimate for that zone’s buffer alone and as its marginal contribution to the total.

Olympic Zone (Venues) Est. people % of total
DTLA † — DTLA Arena, LA Convention Center Hall 1, LA Convention Center Hall 2, LA Convention Center Hall 3, Peacock Theater 2,430 40.7%
Exposition Park † — Exposition Park Stadium, Galen Center, LA Memorial Coliseum 1,203 20.1%
Venice — Venice Beach, Venice Beach Boardwalk 679 11.4%
Dodger Stadium — Dodger Stadium 635 10.6%
Valley — Valley Complex 1, Valley Complex 2, Valley Complex 3, Valley Complex 4 614 10.3%
Inglewood — 2028 Stadium, Intuit Dome 171 2.9%
Griffith Park — Griffith Observatory, LA Zoo 123 2.1%
Port of Los Angeles — Port of Los Angeles 112 1.9%
Carson — Carson Courts, Carson Field, Carson Stadium, Carson Velodrome 107 1.8%
Whittier Narrows — Whittier Narrows Clay Shooting Center 98 1.6%
Pomona — Fairgrounds Cricket Stadium 74 1.2%
Universal City — Comcast Squash Center at Universal Studios 53 0.9%
Arcadia — Santa Anita Park 48 0.8%
Riviera — Riviera Country Club 26 0.4%
City of Industry — Industry Hills MTB Course 20 0.3%
Estimated people and % of total reflect each zone’s 1 mile buffer independently. Overlapping zones are not netted out, so these values do not sum to the total affected population. Hover over the buffer areas on the map to see the number of unique contributions. † DTLA and Exposition Park zones overlap enough that removing either one only marginally reduces the combined total. Pasadena and Long Beach venues are excluded from this map and table: both cities conduct their own Point-in-Time counts independently of LAHSA's Los Angeles Continuum of Care count, so no PIT data is available to estimate their unsheltered population within a buffer.

Hover over a district for its estimated count and share; toggle on “Buffers around venue zones” in the layer control to overlay the same venue-zone buffers shown in the Venue Zones tab above.

Council District (CD) Est. people % of CD's own unsheltered pop. Representative
Council District 1 1,662 55.3% Eunisses Hernandez
Council District 2 36 3.0% Adrin Nazarian
Council District 3 1 0.1% Bob Blumenfield
Council District 4 127 33.5% Nithya Raman
Council District 5 0 0.0% Katy Yaroslavsky
Council District 6 608 26.4% Imelda Padilla
Council District 7 0 0.0% Monica Rodriguez
Council District 8 198 7.2% Marqueece Harris-Dawson
Council District 9 1,098 38.2% Curren D. Price, Jr.
Council District 10 0 0.0% Heather Hutt
Council District 11 584 32.6% Traci Park
Council District 12 0 0.0% John Lee
Council District 13 125 8.0% Hugo Soto-Martínez
Council District 14 930 16.7% Ysabel J. Jurado
Council District 15 132 9.2% Tim McOsker
% of area's own=share of that geography's unsheltered population inside buffer zone.
Share of the affected population by CD

Unlike the map above, this chart slices the total affected population itself (not each district’s own population) by Council District, showing which districts carry the largest share of everyone estimated to fall within a venue buffer. Hover over a slice for its estimate and share.

Who is in the footprint?

We break down the composition of the affected population by type of unsheltered homelessness. Unsheltered type is presented both as units (number of vehicles and tents/makeshift shelters, and number of persons rough sleeping) and as people (people living in those vehicles or tents/makeshift shelters).

Rough sleepers make up the single largest category, an estimated 1,744 people, or 29% of the affected population—modestly overrepresented compared to their 25.1% share of the CoC’s unsheltered population overall. Makeshift shelters (1,174 people, ~20%) and tents (1,073 people, ~18%) make up the next-largest shares, and both run higher near venues than CoC-wide (15.1% vs. 19.6% for makeshift shelters; 13.6% vs. 18.0% for tents). People sleeping in vehicles (cars, vans, and RVs combined) account for roughly a third of the affected population, with those in RVs accounting for about 14% of the total—the reverse pattern from the other categories, since RVs make up 23.7% of the CoC’s unsheltered population overall but only 14.1% near a venue, making RV dwellers noticeably underrepresented. Cars and vans hold roughly steady between the two. See the comparison chart below for the full picture.

Type Est. people % of affected
Rough sleepers 1,744 29.2%
Cars 497 8.3%
Vans 645 10.8%
RVs 842 14.1%
Tents 1,073 18.0%
Makeshift Shelters 1,174 19.6%
CoC overall vs. within 1 mile of a venue
Conclusion

This reporting demonstrates that the estimated unsheltered population within reach of Olympic venue security is substantial, but that the size of the affected population could vary greatly depend on how security perimeters are drawn. To see exactly where the affected population sits, visit the Map tab. For the full set of buffer scenarios (0.5, 1, and 2 miles) and the breakdown by unsheltered type, visit the Totals tab.

It’s worth noting that security planning is still in progress, and as operational details become public, the numbers in this report will need to be updated to reflect the changing context. Furthermore, this analysis is limited to the main game venues; it doesn’t yet account for the broader set of Olympics-adjacent infrastructure that will also see heightened security and enforcement, including UCLA as the Olympic Athletes’ Village, USC as the Media Village, and the major transit hubs and corridors that will carry the bulk of spectator traffic. Each of those is a plausible site of the same displacement pressure this report documents, and each would push the true affected population higher still.

Ultimately, the question this report raises is not just how many people, but what happens to them. Displacing unsheltered residents to make way for a “security perimeter” without a credible plan for shelter, services, or housing does not resolve homelessness; it merely hides it and shifts the burden onto unhoused individuals and their wellbeing. A three-week international event should not come at the cost of basic human dignity for the people who call these neighborhoods home. As Los Angeles finalizes its security footprint, how the city treats its unsheltered residents in the process will be as much a measure of its readiness to host the Olympics as any other aspect of its planning.

This will be the first of many reports on the home2028.la Olympics portal. Our first goal is to shine a spotlight on changes in enforcement and outreach that may emerge in the run-up to the Olympics. But we hope to go further, to have this portal serve as a clearinghouse for information and data that service providers, communities, and mutual aid groups can use to ensure the safety of all Angelenos.

Los Angeles Continuum of Care (countywide)
Estimated people affected: 5,975
Share of CoC unsheltered population: 13.6%
City of Los Angeles
Estimated people: 5,501
Share of City unsheltered population: 19.8%
Estimated Adult Unsheltered Population Within 1 Mile of LA 2028 Olympic Venues
Notes
  • PIT = Point-in-Time Count; MSS = Makeshift Shelters.

  • PIT counts for Vehicles and Tents/MSS shown on the map are unit-level counts (i.e., the number of cars/vans/RVs and tents/makeshift shelters observed), while counts for Rough Sleepers reflect person-level counts (i.e., individuals aged 25+ counted on the street and in safe parking sites; individuals aged 18–24 counted in safe parking sites; and family members counted on the street and in safe parking sites).

  • Total PIT Count Numbers = Rough Sleepers (persons) + Vehicle units + Tent/MSS units.

  • Reproportioned map layers use a street-length weighting method, which allocates each tract’s PIT count in proportion to the share of its primary/secondary streets falling within a 1-mile buffer around official Olympic game venues. The 0.5-mile and 2-mile rings shown on the map are reference boundaries only (no separate choropleth).

  • See the Totals tab for estimates of total units and people and at alternative buffer distances, and the Methodology tab for details on how estimates were calculated.

Estimated Units = Rough Sleepers (persons) + unit counts of Cars, Vans, RVs, Tents, and Makeshift Shelters.

Estimated People = Rough Sleepers (persons) + estimated people in Cars, Vans, RVs, Tents, and Makeshift Shelters, using the occupancy multipliers described in the Methodology tab.

The top-line numbers below are fixed to the a 1-mile buffer scenario. The detail table underneath is searchable across all buffer distance scenarios. All estimates use a street-length-based reproportioning method (allocating each census tract’s count based on the share of its street network within the buffer).

% of Region = share of that geography’s own unsheltered population (concentration).

% of CoC = share of the countywide unsheltered population (contribution).

Region Estimated Units Estimated People % of Region's Units % of Region's People % of CoC Units % of CoC People
Entire CoC 4,044 5,975 14.0% 13.6% 14.0% 13.6%
Region Estimated Units Estimated People % of Region's Units % of Region's People % of CoC Units % of CoC People
City of LA 3,559.6 5,501.1 20.4% 19.8% 12.4% 12.5%
Region Estimated Units Estimated People % of Region's Units % of Region's People % of CoC Units % of CoC People
1- Antelope Valley 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2- San Fernando 424.4 726.9 10.6% 10.2% 1.5% 1.6%
3- San Gabriel 164.6 231.9 6.9% 6.4% 0.6% 0.5%
4- Metro 2,032.9 3,125.2 26.7% 25.8% 7.1% 7.1%
5- West 490.2 681.1 21.6% 22.1% 1.7% 1.5%
6- South 666.0 1,013.5 11.6% 12.0% 2.3% 2.3%
7- East 19.5 23.3 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
8- South Bay 246.4 369.3 12.5% 11.8% 0.9% 0.8%
Region Estimated Units Estimated People % of Region's Units % of Region's People % of CoC Units % of CoC People
Council District 1 1,090.0 1,662.3 53.1% 55.3% 3.8% 3.8%
Council District 10 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Council District 11 368.3 583.8 33.9% 32.6% 1.3% 1.3%
Council District 12 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Council District 13 78.9 125.3 8.0% 8.0% 0.3% 0.3%
Council District 14 707.0 930.0 19.6% 16.7% 2.5% 2.1%
Council District 15 83.1 131.7 9.7% 9.2% 0.3% 0.3%
Council District 2 26.2 36.4 3.7% 3.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Council District 3 0.4 0.6 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Council District 4 83.4 126.8 34.2% 33.5% 0.3% 0.3%
Council District 5 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Council District 6 367.7 607.6 26.5% 26.4% 1.3% 1.4%
Council District 7 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Council District 8 128.0 198.3 7.4% 7.2% 0.4% 0.4%
Council District 9 626.4 1,098.2 36.1% 38.2% 2.2% 2.5%
Region Estimated Units Estimated People % of Region's Units % of Region's People % of CoC Units % of CoC People
Supervisorial District 1 2,079.3 2,974.7 23.6% 23.0% 7.2% 6.7%
Supervisorial District 2 889.8 1,408.1 11.1% 11.3% 3.1% 3.2%
Supervisorial District 3 866.6 1,301.0 16.2% 16.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Supervisorial District 4 75.2 112.5 2.6% 2.7% 0.3% 0.3%
Supervisorial District 5 133.2 178.7 3.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.4%

This table reports estimated impact by venue zones, a geographic grouping of nearby venues (e.g., Downtown LA, Exposition Park, Venice Beach), rather than individual venues across all three buffer distances. Solo is a zone’s buffer estimated on its own; because nearby zones’ buffers can overlap, solo estimates across zones do not net against each other, so they do not sum to the total affected population. Unique is the marginal contribution of that zone: how much the total would drop if that zone’s venues were removed, netting out any shared overlap with other zones. For most zones solo and unique are close; they diverge meaningfully only where zones sit near enough to share catchment (e.g., DTLA and Exposition Park).

Overview

This dashboard reproportions 2026 Point-in-Time (PIT) count data of the adult unsheltered population from the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority (LAHSA) down to the area within a buffer around LA 2028 Olympic venues, so that the totals shown are an estimate of the unsheltered population near venues.

LAHSA’s PIT Count is an annual single-night count of people experiencing homelessness in the Los Angeles Continuum of Care (CoC). The CoC covers all cities and unincorporated areas in Los Angeles County except Pasadena, Long Beach, and Glendale, which conduct and report their own counts independently. This report uses the 2026 adult unsheltered count, released by LAHSA in July 2026.

Los Angeles’ PIT Count is available at the census tract level and records individuals sleeping on the street, as well as units of vehicles (i.e., cars, vans, and RVs) and tents or makeshift shelters where people are believed to be sleeping. To get from units to people for the vehicle and tent/makeshift shelter counts, we apply occupancy multipliers to estimate the number of people represented by those units (more details below).

Because the PIT Count is reported only at the census tract level, we do not know the exact locations where unsheltered people are sleeping within each tract. At the same time, an Olympic venue’s security buffer may cover only part of a tract or nearly all of it. To estimate how many people fall within the buffer, we use the street network as a proxy for where unsheltered people are likely to be found. More detail about our street-length reproportioning methodology is detailed below.

Since no PIT observation is actually tied to a specific location within a tract, these are estimates; the method rests on an assumption about how people are distributed within a tract: uniform along walkable street length.

We note that our estimates focus on unsheltered adults ages 25 and older, plus family members counted on the street. This follows how LAHSA categorizes this population in the PIT Count, but it also means our estimates do not capture everyone who could be affected by venue-related security policies. In particular, the unsheltered youth population are excluded from these totals. Our figures presented should therefore be understood as a conservative estimate of the number of unsheltered people who could be affected.

Lastly, it is not yet public how officials will define the actual security perimeter around each venue—from the full site boundary, as we do here, or from a single reference point. We use site polygons because a real perimeter is more likely to follow a venue’s physical footprint than a single coordinate, but this choice raises the estimate substantially relative to a point-based buffer of the same radius; treat the figures in this report as reflecting that assumption rather than a confirmed perimeter methodology.

Report tab: narrative summary of the estimates, broken out by geography, dwelling type, and demographics.

Map tab: shows unit-level PIT counts by census tract (Total, Rough Sleepers, Vehicles, Tents/MSS), reproportioned within a 1-mile buffer of official Olympic venues. 0.5-mile and 2-mile buffer rings are shown for visual reference.

Totals tab: aggregates estimates up to the CoC, City of LA, Service Planning Area (SPA), City of LA Council District, and Supervisorial District level, broken out by individual count type (rough sleepers, cars, vans, RVs, tents, makeshift shelters), searchable across all three buffer distances (0.5, 1, and 2-miles).

Venue data and buffer construction

Data on the location of the Olympic Game Venues was retrieved from the LA County Planning GIS Team (last downloaded August 14, 2026). To approximate venue footprints as polygons rather than points, boundaries were constructed using two sources from LA County eGIS: parcel/building footprints from the County Assessor office, and the Countywide Parks and Open Space layer (both last downloaded August 14, 2026). Each venue point was matched to the corresponding building or park polygon based on location and name, and that polygon was used to represent the venue’s spatial extent in place of a single coordinate. This approach captures the actual footprint of each venue (accounting for venues that span large areas, such as parks or multi-building complexes) for use in buffer and overlap calculations.

Reference buffers of 0.5, 1, and 2 miles were constructed independently around each venue polygon using a fixed-distance buffer applied directly to each venue’s footprint boundary. Because buffers are drawn from the polygon edge rather than a central point, the effective catchment area reflects each venue’s actual size and shape. Where venues were close enough for their buffers to overlap, the individual buffer polygons were dissolved into a single unioned buffer to avoid double-counting overlapping area in tract-level estimates.

Street classification & reproportioning methodology

Street network data are from Road Segments data from the Countywide Address Management System (CAMS) Program. This file contains a classification code on type of road (primary, secondary, etc.). Before any buffer or reproportioning math happens, every street segment is categorized into “potential unsheltered locations” based on its road-type:

  • Include: primary and secondary roads
  • Exclude: highway, bike path, motorway/truck trail, alley, driveway, pedestrian walkway, ramp, trail, unpaved road, minor, freeway, private road, railroad, rapid transit, planned road

Only streets classified as “include” are used as the denominator/numerator in the street-length reproportioning method below. Excluded road types are not counted as potential unsheltered locations.

Street-length-weighted reproportioning: For each tract, the fraction of its qualifying street length that falls inside the venue buffer is calculated, and that same fraction of its PIT count is attributed to the buffer. Only streets classified as “include” count toward that fraction (see the street classification note). This assumes unsheltered individuals are distributed evenly along “walkable” street length within the tract. Tracts with little qualifying street length get a low estimate even if they have substantial area overlap with the buffer, and tracts with no qualifying street length inside a given buffer contribute zero to that buffer’s estimate regardless of how much of the tract’s area the buffer covers.

For example, a tract with a PIT Count of 40 people and 50% of its qualifying streets inside the buffer contributes an estimated 20 people to that buffer; a tract with the same count but 100% of its qualifying streets inside the buffer contributes the full 40.

Point-in-Time (PIT) Counts & Multiplier methodology (units to people)

The map shows unit-level PIT counts for Vehicles and Tents/MSS (i.e., the number of cars/vans/RVs and the number of tents/makeshift shelters observed), while Rough Sleepers reflect person counts (i.e., individuals aged 25+ counted on the street and in safe parking sites; individuals aged 18-24 in safe parking sites; and family members counted on the street and in safe parking sites). Total PIT Count is the total number of rough sleepers (persons) + Vehicle units + Tent/MSS units.

Vehicles (cars, vans, RVs) and Tents/Makeshift Shelters are counted during the PIT street count as physical units. To estimate people from these unit counts, each unit type (cars, vans, RVs, tents, makeshift shelters) is multiplied by an occupancy multiplier unique to that type and the region. Region-specific multipliers were used for the CoC, City of LA, and each SPA; Council District estimates borrow the City of LA multipliers, and Supervisorial District estimates borrow the CoC-wide multipliers. Rough sleepers, on the other hand, do not need a multiplier; unsheltered individuals observed directly on the street are counted as people to begin with.

Because multipliers are not provided at the tract-level, the Map shows unit counts for vehicles and tents/makeshift shelters. Each count type (Total, Rough Sleepers, Vehicles, Tents/MSS) is mapped as its own toggleable choropleth layer using Jenks natural breaks, at the 1-mile/street-length reproportioned estimate.

The multiplier-based people estimates for Vehicles and Tents/MSS are available in the Totals tab.

Totals tab

The Totals tab reports the street-length buffer estimates aggregated to five levels: the entire LA Continuum of Care (CoC), the City of LA only, by Service Planning Area (SPA 1–8), by City of LA Council District (CD), and by Supervisorial District (SD). The top-line summary are fixed to the 1-mile buffer scenario and shows both the concentration share (% of that geography’s own unsheltered population) and the contribution share (% of the countywide total). The detail table underneath shows the raw unit estimate and, where a multiplier applies, the converted people estimate, and is searchable by Buffer Distance to compare the default 1-mile estimate against alternatives.

Venue zone contribution

We estimate how much each zone of venues (e.g., Downtown LA, Exposition Park, Venice Beach) contributes to the total affected population. These venue zones correspond to those defined by the LA2028 Olympic Committee; however, in this report Dodger Stadium is kept as its own even though it sits within the broader DTLA zone, since its buffer doesn’t overlap the other downtown venues.

We report two complementary numbers for each zone, at each buffer distance:

  • Solo: the estimated affected population within that zone’s buffer alone, as if it were the only venue zone in the analysis. Because nearby zones’ buffers can overlap (e.g., Downtown LA and Exposition Park sit close enough that their one- and two-mile buffers overlap), solo estimates for different zones can double-count the same people, so that summing solo estimates across every zone would overstate the true total.
  • Unique: the marginal contribution of that zone (i.e., how much the total estimated affected population would fall if that zone’s venues were removed from the analysis entirely, holding every other venue in place). This nets out any catchment area/overlap shared with other zones.

For most venue zones, solo and unique are close, because the zone’s buffer doesn’t meaningfully overlap any other zone’s. They diverge most for zones that sit near each other – in this case, primarily Downtown LA (DTLA) and Exposition Park zones, whose buffers overlap enough that removing either zone on its own only marginally reduces the combined total.

Pasadena and Long Beach venues are excluded from this calculation, since LAHSA’s PIT count data doesn’t cover those cities.

Limitations
  • Reproportioned counts are estimates, a geometric approximation based on the assumptions above.
  • The street classification used is itself a judgment call based on road type, not validated against actual PIT observation locations.
  • Occupancy multipliers are themselves estimates with their own margin of error; the people-level figures inherit that uncertainty on top of the geometric reproportioning uncertainty.
  • The LAHSA 2026 PIT Count data used in this analysis reflects adults aged 25 and older; it does not include youth ages 18-24, who are counted separately by LAHSA’s youth-specific count methodology. As a result, these estimates do not capture the full unsheltered population near Olympic venue sites, and true totals (particularly for venues near areas with higher concentrations of transition-age youth) are likely higher than reported here.
  • All figures reflect the confirmed 2028 Olympic game venues as of this report’s last update (August 14, 2026). As venue plans and security perimeters are finalized, these estimates should be revisited.
Authors and Contributors
Authors:
  • Randall Kuhn, UCLA Fielding School of Public Health.
  • Jessie Chien, UCLA California Center for Population Research.
Contributors:
  • Benjamin Henwood, USC Center for Homelessness, Housing and Health Equity Research.
  • Amanda Landrian Gonzalez, USC Center for Homelessness, Housing and Health Equity Research.

Special thanks to Scot Hickey (USC Center for Homelessness, Housing and Health Equity Research) for their research support, Katheryn Leifheit (UCLA Fielding School of Public Health) for their thoughtful feedback, and the USC Homelessness Policy Research Institute (HPRI) for providing research resources.